Expert’s Voice: How will hotels turn profitable again post Covid19?
Empty hotels are a worldwide problem due to the coronavirus. (Picture: Alexander Huang / Unsplash)
As COVID-19 drives hoteliers back to the drawing board, Saurabh Gupta, Managing Partner at Hotelivate, outlines some possible solutions.
COVID-19 is the mega crisis of our lifetime. Arne Sorenson of Marriott described the impact of the pandemic to be more severe than the 9/11 attacks and the 2008 financial crisis combined. It may be argued that the hospitality sector, often criticised for its high fixed costs and low return on capital employed (ROCE) was anyways overdue for a major course correction.
Perhaps, COVID-19 has only exacerbated the already festering problem which needs a deeper solution with exponential results. This crisis is bound to push all hotel owners, management companies, franchisors and operating teams to go back to the drawing board.
The sector may see a protracted recovery cycle of 12-18 months, during which time the revenues may contract to 30-50% of 2019 levels. This would lead to operating costs consuming most of the truncated revenues leaving little else for debt servicing, essential repairs and so on.
Payroll cost in hotels typically ranges between 20-25% of the ideal revenue which would increase to 40-50% of turnover, if revenue is reduced to half its original level. World over, hotels have resorted to aggressive furloughing (where ever supported by state programs) or salary reduction for managerial staff to mitigate the impact. But hotels are still haemorrhaging – they need much more than a Band-Aid and they need it fast.
Hotelivate Asset Management believes that fundamentally hotels must utilise their human capital with far greater efficiency levels. Questions have to be asked, rules have to be rewritten and mindsets have to change.
Here are some ideas, thoughts and questions with an aim to utilise the human capital in hospitality more productively. The questions here point towards the art of possibilities and do not purport to be all-encompassing solutions:
Reduction of layers in the hierarchy
- Can hotels operate with a flatter structure – GM, line managers, rank & file?
- Can we set processes that allow teams to perform independently and without inspectors?
Eliminating duplication of responsibilities
- Are job roles clearly defined? Or do responsibilities overlap and are concealed in indistinct job titles?
- How are the responsibilities of Director of F&B different from that of the F&B Manager? Isn’t a director the manager of the managers?
Compensation mechanism needs to tilt towards variable pay
- Can hotels continue to afford to pay high fixed salaries to General Managers and HODs?
- Why not structure the compensation of key management personnel to mimic the fee structure of hotel operators and bring out the entrepreneurial spirit in them? A lower fixed salary but with a high incentive salary based on performance? Incentives could be 2x or 3x of the fixed salary with no upper limit.
Temping is critical to fix the issue of fixed costs
- Can industry leaders along with relevant ministries and colleges enable an environment for temping where college students could self-support their expenses while working part-time in hotels and restaurants?
Experienced hoteliers could offer their expertise as freelancers
- Can hotels not work with top professionals on short-term assignment basis or on fixed term contracts?
- Why should a smaller hotel not be able to afford the services of top hospitality talent other than by offering an endless employment agreement?
Region-level (cluster) senior management for Engineering, Procurement, IT, Revenue Mgmt, General Mgmt.
- Better paid hoteliers are routinely placed in high revenue earning hotels to maintain payroll to turnover balance. But their vital operational experience may be required to turn around a smaller or newer hotel which may not be able to afford them. Why don’t chain hotels accrue benefits from cross-subsidizing talent at a regional level?
- Can regional sales offices set-ups not be emulated for other functions like regional engineering, HR, IT, procurement offices?
Technology for repetitive and mundane jobs
- In the near future, could robots play a big role in functions like housekeeping, security, patisserie, room service, reservations?
- Should hotels adopt digital training modules which may be a blend of standard and purpose-built training?
Restaurants are a specialised human-intensive function – needs specialists
- Can hotels tie-up with the best chef-entrepreneurs in the business by way of a mutually beneficial revenue sharing business model?
- What can be emulated from the business model of successful independent F&B outlets?
Outsourcing procures superlative expertise on a variable expense basis
- If functions like revenue management, accounting can be outsourced for higher efficiency, then why is the adoption still rather limited?
Cross functional utilisation of teams must move from utopian to utilitarian levels
- Is mental conditioning of teams the first step towards widespread adoption of this age-old idea?
- Do hotels have the right resources for cross functional training?
At Hotelivate, we have the advantage of having a view from 30,000 feet; with our ears to the ground. We believe the industry needs to push the boundaries of its own thought process and derive deep and lasting value by working on a confluence of austerity, inventiveness and adaptation.
Leaders in the hospitality sector have a duty upon them. The duty to bring about a change in the way hotels are staffed and operated all over the world. Each region may have its own nuances and commercial compulsions which may not allow for a ‘one size fits all’ solution.
But every hotel unit must critically look inwards and must transform into a leaner and fitter avatar. The survival strategy for this crisis may well become the winning formula in post-COVID life. At the end of it all, we may be thanking this crisis for bringing about the much-needed renaissance to the modus-operandi of the lodging industry.
Managing Partner at Hotelivate
With more than 23 years working in the hotel industry, Saurabh has developed different roles connected with strategy, advisory and corporate activities. From hotel development to market assessment, he is currently working as Managing Partner at Hotelivate.